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Samsung Electronics Co Ltd APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026

1 Day

86.91%

decreased by 2.10%

1 Week

86.70%

decreased by 2.31%

1 Month

85.89%

decreased by 3.12%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 6, 2026 at 12:54 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Samsung Electronics Co Ltd APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 209 trading days (~0.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. The volatility power δ = 1.82 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 75% more than positive returns

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~209 daysLeverage: Negative returns increase volatility 75% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0248
2.95***
αARCH0.0488
7.69***
βGARCH0.9500
176.06***
γleverage0.1518
3.21***
δpower1.8207
7.41***

0.997

Persistence

209d

Half-life
σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0248
2.95***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0488
7.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9500
176.06***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1518
3.21***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.8207
7.41***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

209 days