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Samsung Electronics Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

65.01%

decreased by 0.30%

1 Week

64.76%

decreased by 0.55%

1 Month

63.80%

decreased by 1.51%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 12:39 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Samsung Electronics Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 123 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.86 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~123 daysv = 6.86 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.4402
1.49
αARCH0.0496
9.44***
βGARCH0.9944
248.96***
νDF6.8633
1.89*

0.994

Persistence

123d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.4402
1.49
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0496
9.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9944
248.96***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.8633
1.89*

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

123 days