V-Lab
Samsung Electronics Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
65.01%
1 Week
64.76%
1 Month
63.80%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 12:39 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 3, 1990 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 123 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.86 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.4402 | 1.49 |
| αARCH | 0.0496 | 9.44*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9944 | 248.96*** |
| νDF | 6.8633 | 1.89* |
0.994
Persistence123d
Half-lifeGAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.4402 | 1.49 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0496 | 9.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9944 | 248.96*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 6.8633 | 1.89* |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
123 days
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