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V-Lab

Wuxi Honghui New Materials Technology Co., Ltd. Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

41.88%

decreased by 0.18%

1 Week

39.09%

decreased by 2.97%

1 Month

33.59%

decreased by 8.47%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Wuxi Honghui New Materials Technology Co., Ltd. S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 29, 2016 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.9076
4.48***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1611
4.95***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6982
11.04***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ11.1446
2.17**
γ2-1.9716
-2.59***
γ31.8661
3.54***
γ4-1.7229
-3.11***
γ50.5158
0.84
γ61.0508
1.71*
γ7-1.9013
-3.41***
γ81.4952
3.45***

Persistence:

0.859

Half-life:

5 days