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V-Lab

Wuxi Honghui New Materials Technology Co., Ltd. Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

47.96%

increased by 11.91%

1 Week

47.44%

increased by 11.39%

1 Month

45.85%

increased by 9.80%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Wuxi Honghui New Materials Technology Co., Ltd. S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 29, 2016 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 15 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3086
8.18***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1153
5.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8398
29.81***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0065
2.37**

Persistence:

0.955

Half-life:

15 days