V-Lab
Wuxi Honghui New Materials Technology Co., Ltd. GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026
1 Day
29.78%
decreased by 0.88%
1 Week
31.30%
increased by 0.64%
1 Month
35.78%
increased by 5.12%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 07:26 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 29, 2016 to Sep 30, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 21-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.3033 | 3.48*** |
| αARCH | 0.1095 | 3.10*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8552 | 35.09*** |
| γleverage | 0.0062 | 0.11 |
0.968
Persistence21d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3033 | 3.48*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1095 | 3.10*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8552 | 35.09*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0062 | 0.11 |
Persistence:
0.968
Half-life:
21 days
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