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V-Lab

Wuxi Honghui New Materials Technology Co., Ltd. MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

54.61%

increased by 14.80%

1 Week

50.48%

increased by 10.67%

1 Month

48.78%

increased by 8.97%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Wuxi Honghui New Materials Technology Co., Ltd. MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 29, 2016 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 62% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1613
17.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4478
16.04***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1003
7.16***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2597
1.49
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1160
1.78*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8561
10.59***

Persistence:

0.659

Half-life:

2 days