V-Lab
Wuxi Honghui New Materials Technology Co., Ltd. MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
54.61%
increased by 14.80%
1 Week
50.48%
increased by 10.67%
1 Month
48.78%
increased by 8.97%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 29, 2016 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 62% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1613 | 17.25*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4478 | 16.04*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1003 | 7.16*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.2597 | 1.49 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1160 | 1.78* |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8561 | 10.59*** |
Persistence:
0.659
Half-life:
2 days
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