Wuxi Honghui New Materials Technology Co., Ltd. MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
30.71%
decreased by 1.80%
1 Week
32.35%
decreased by 0.16%
1 Month
34.91%
increased by 2.40%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 02:02 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 29, 2016 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 21 | |
| αARCH | 0.1618 | 4.23*** |
| βGARCH | 0.4386 | 5.50*** |
| γleverage | 0.0966 | 1.66* |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.2909 | 1.70* |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.1278 | 2.36** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.8396 | 12.07*** |
0.649
Persistence2d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1618 | 4.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4386 | 5.50*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0966 | 1.66* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.2909 | 1.70* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1278 | 2.36** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8396 | 12.07*** |
Persistence:
0.649
Half-life:
2 days
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