V-Lab
Wuxi Honghui New Materials Technology Co., Ltd. MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
49.21%
increased by 1.47%
1 Week
48.81%
increased by 1.07%
1 Month
49.54%
increased by 1.80%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 29, 2016 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 60% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1636 | 17.33*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4449 | 15.71*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0979 | 6.97*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.2718 | 1.47 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1211 | 1.75* |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8499 | 9.91*** |
Persistence:
0.657
Half-life:
2 days
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