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V-Lab

Xiandai Investment Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

21.17%

decreased by 0.26%

1 Week

20.38%

decreased by 1.05%

1 Month

22.07%

increased by 0.64%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Xiandai Investment Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 29, 1999 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

106
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1014
23.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8063
128.37***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0044
0.71
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.5489
5.86***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7930
18.27***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0815
1.36

Persistence:

0.910

Half-life:

7 days