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V-Lab

Heungkuk Fire & Marine Insurance Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

50.24%

decreased by 3.31%

1 Week

53.13%

decreased by 0.42%

1 Month

57.19%

increased by 3.64%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 04:06 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Heungkuk Fire & Marine Insurance Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 28% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

116
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1917
32.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7348
121.72***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0414
-5.30***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.3611
7.18***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

1.0000
22.70***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.906

Half-life:

7 days