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V-Lab

Heungkuk Fire & Marine Insurance Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

45.69%

decreased by 1.23%

1 Week

49.86%

increased by 2.94%

1 Month

57.79%

increased by 10.87%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 11:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Heungkuk Fire & Marine Insurance Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 23% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1974
31.65***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7080
91.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0372
-4.21***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1379
4.25***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2956
7.30***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7020
16.01***

Persistence:

0.887

Half-life:

6 days