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Yen Bai Industry Mineral Jsc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

10,036.45

increased by 7,519.42

1 Week

5,197.37

increased by 2,680.34

1 Month

2,730.59

increased by 213.56

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Yen Bai Industry Mineral Jsc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 21, 2018 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 115524 trading days (~458.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0628
0.10
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2358
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7642
0.00
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-5.8516
0.00
γ229.3663
0.00
γ3-48.3353
0.00
γ430.3262
0.00
γ50.1552
0.00
γ6-9.1863
0.00
γ74.5014
0.00
γ8-7.0905
0.00
γ913.5715
0.00
γ10-9.6232
0.00

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

115524 days