V-Lab
Yen Bai Industry Mineral Jsc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
10,036.45
increased by 7,519.42
1 Week
5,197.37
increased by 2,680.34
1 Month
2,730.59
increased by 213.56
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 21, 2018 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 115524 trading days (~458.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0628 | 0.10 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2358 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7642 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -5.8516 | 0.00 |
| γ2 | 29.3663 | 0.00 |
| γ3 | -48.3353 | 0.00 |
| γ4 | 30.3262 | 0.00 |
| γ5 | 0.1552 | 0.00 |
| γ6 | -9.1863 | 0.00 |
| γ7 | 4.5014 | 0.00 |
| γ8 | -7.0905 | 0.00 |
| γ9 | 13.5715 | 0.00 |
| γ10 | -9.6232 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
115524 days
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