V-Lab
Yen Bai Industry Mineral Jsc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
4,553.64
increased by 2,563.60
1 Week
2,917.56
increased by 927.52
1 Month
1,954.15
decreased by 35.89
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 21, 2018 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4690 | 6.90*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0821 | 5.37*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9007 | 118.46*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0345 | 1.78* |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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