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Yen Bai Industry Mineral Jsc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, November 11th, 2026

1 Day

14,216.27

increased by 5,400.72

1 Week

11,087.63

increased by 2,272.08

1 Month

5,130.80

decreased by 3,684.75

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/10/2024

to

11/10/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Yen Bai Industry Mineral Jsc ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 21, 2018 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 138 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~138 days
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow116
αARCH0.2780
2.82***
βGARCH0.8560
41.21***
γleverage-0.2780
-1.72*
λ₁tau intercept0.0035
0.86
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.01
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
5.00***

0.995

Persistence

138d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

116
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2780
2.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8560
41.21***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2780
-1.72*
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0035
0.86
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.01
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
5.00***

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

138 days