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V-Lab

Vulcan Energy Resources Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

3,839.83

increased by 392.81

1 Week

3,833.50

increased by 386.48

1 Month

3,665.32

increased by 218.30

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 05:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Vulcan Energy Resources Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 30, 2018 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5321
2.90***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1484
6.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6957
9.36***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-3.8830
-6.48***
γ26.7350
8.04***
γ3-3.3203
-9.02***
γ40.1303
0.61
γ50.4581
1.78*

Persistence:

0.844

Half-life:

4 days