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Vulcan Energy Resources Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

3,771.66

increased by 469.49

1 Week

3,582.90

increased by 280.73

1 Month

4,149.08

increased by 846.91

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 05:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Vulcan Energy Resources Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 30, 2018 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 366 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0000
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0104
1.39
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9456
318.71***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0843
4.95***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

366 days