Skip to main content
V-Lab

USCB Financial Holdings Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

7,266.52

decreased by 519.25

1 Week

9,007.08

increased by 1,221.31

1 Month

11,277.40

increased by 3,491.63

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of USCB Financial Holdings Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 23, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 11 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.8727
3.11***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2008
5.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7359
15.96***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ10.4334
2.52**
γ2-0.8396
-3.14***

Persistence:

0.937

Half-life:

11 days