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USCB Financial Holdings Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026

1 Day

12,483.27

increased by 1,029.92

1 Week

12,385.88

increased by 932.53

1 Month

15,445.80

increased by 3,992.45

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 3, 2026 at 09:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of USCB Financial Holdings Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 23, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 10 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.8713
3.16***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2082
5.65***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7275
14.91***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ10.4570
2.60***
γ2-0.8643
-3.15***

Persistence:

0.936

Half-life:

10 days