V-Lab
USCB Financial Holdings Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026
1 Day
12,483.27
increased by 1,029.92
1 Week
12,385.88
increased by 932.53
1 Month
15,445.80
increased by 3,992.45
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 3, 2026 at 09:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 23, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 10 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.8713 | 3.16*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2082 | 5.65*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7275 | 14.91*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | 0.4570 | 2.60*** |
| γ2 | -0.8643 | -3.15*** |
Persistence:
0.936
Half-life:
10 days
Other USCB Financial Holdings Inc Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Equities