V-Lab
USCB Financial Holdings Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
9,709.74
1 Week
11,495.37
1 Month
13,748.39
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 23, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2034 | 4.74*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7265 | 56.84*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2034 | -2.25** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0368 | 17.70*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9600 | 115.20*** |
Persistence:
0.828
Half-life:
4 days
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