V-Lab
USCB Financial Holdings Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026
1 Day
15,148.28
1 Week
15,135.05
1 Month
18,255.83
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 3, 2026 at 09:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 23, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2092 | 4.97*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7226 | 60.22*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2092 | -2.39** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0323 | 17.73*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9649 | 147.53*** |
Persistence:
0.827
Half-life:
4 days
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