V-Lab
USCB Financial Holdings Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026
1 Day
12,767.10
increased by 103.36
1 Week
13,079.84
increased by 416.10
1 Month
15,516.20
increased by 2,852.46
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 3, 2026 at 09:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 23, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.06 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1036 | 9.41*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8797 | 230.34*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0335 | 1.63 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
-
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