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Uravi Defence and Technology Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026

1 Day

58,440.93

increased by 17,953.23

1 Week

45,435.49

increased by 4,947.79

1 Month

37,620.28

decreased by 2,867.42

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 07:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Uravi Defence and Technology Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 30, 2018 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 144 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.1722
1.83*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4097
7.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5854
11.46***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-16.3652
-0.86
γ222.8952
0.90
γ3-17.8555
-1.43
γ427.2149
2.23**
γ5-28.1144
-2.26**
γ628.2131
2.24**
γ7-45.5497
-2.18**
γ860.1962
2.10**
γ9-48.4811
-2.04**
γ1032.9039
1.91*

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

144 days