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Uravi Defence and Technology Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026

1 Day

31,715.05

increased by 6,886.36

1 Week

26,020.01

increased by 1,191.32

1 Month

22,386.14

decreased by 2,442.55

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 07:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Uravi Defence and Technology Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 30, 2018 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.07
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3564
2.14**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7256
25.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1640
-0.92

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-