V-Lab
Uravi Defence and Technology Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026
1 Day
67,179.39
1 Week
47,300.16
1 Month
41,031.61
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 07:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 30, 2018 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.6129 | 2.22** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6058 | 28.39*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -0.97 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9983 | 294.49*** |
Persistence:
0.969
Half-life:
22 days
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