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Uravi Defence and Technology Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026

1 Day

67,179.39

increased by 28,683.54

1 Week

47,300.16

increased by 8,804.31

1 Month

41,031.61

increased by 2,535.76

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 07:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Uravi Defence and Technology Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 30, 2018 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.6129
2.22**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6058
28.39***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-0.97
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.01
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9983
294.49***

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days