Skip to main content
V-Lab

United Carton Industries Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026

1 Day

4,056.95

decreased by 418.89

1 Week

4,907.97

increased by 432.13

1 Month

4,357.53

decreased by 118.31

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 08:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of United Carton Industries Co ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 27, 2025 to Jul 23, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0515
10.38***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1026
2.43**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8046
7.87***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.5453
-2.22**

Persistence:

0.907

Half-life:

7 days