Zhejiang Zheneng Electric Power Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 28th, 2026
1 Day
47.29
increased by 8.08
1 Week
39.44
increased by 0.23
1 Month
38.33
decreased by 0.88
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 06:19 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 19, 2013 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3224 trading days (~12.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~3224 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.2196 | 2.26** |
| αARCH | 0.2329 | 27.00*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7669 | 88.97*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0205 | -1.75* |
1.000
Persistence3224d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2196 | 2.26** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2329 | 27.00*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7669 | 88.97*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0205 | -1.75* |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
3224 days
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