V-Lab
Zhejiang Zheneng Electric Power Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026
1 Day
34.36
increased by 0.04
1 Month
36.79
increased by 2.47
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 06:18 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 19, 2013 to Sep 30, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3285 trading days (~13.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~3285 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.2211 | 2.26** |
| αARCH | 0.2339 | 26.96*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7659 | 88.40*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0212 | -1.80* |
1.000
Persistence3285d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2211 | 2.26** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2339 | 26.96*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7659 | 88.40*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0212 | -1.80* |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
3285 days
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