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Zhejiang Zheneng Electric Power Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
45.40
1 Week
49.33
1 Month
54.07
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 06:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 19, 2013 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0632 | 1.48 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8026 | 48.69*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0797 | 0.67 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.8256 | 0.83 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6687 | 3.35*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.3043 | 0.68 |
Persistence:
0.906
Half-life:
7 days
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