V-Lab
United Carton Industries Co ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026
1 Day
2,454.84
decreased by 269.52
1 Week
3,775.03
increased by 1,050.67
1 Month
4,894.24
increased by 2,169.88
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 08:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 27, 2025 to Jul 23, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
μ
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5040 | 52.06*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1856 | 13.53*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -40.47*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2,568.7500 |
Persistence:
0.440
Half-life:
1 days
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