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United Carton Industries Co ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026

1 Day

2,454.84

decreased by 269.52

1 Week

3,775.03

increased by 1,050.67

1 Month

4,894.24

increased by 2,169.88

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 08:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of United Carton Industries Co ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 27, 2025 to Jul 23, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5040
52.06***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1856
13.53***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-40.47***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2,568.7500

Persistence:

0.440

Half-life:

1 days