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United Carton Industries Co Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026

1 Day

5,343.24

decreased by 247.70

1 Week

5,992.90

increased by 401.96

1 Month

4,422.06

decreased by 1,168.88

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 08:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of United Carton Industries Co ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 27, 2025 to Jul 23, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 164 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.38
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0105
1.14
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9345
159.29***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1015
4.77***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

164 days