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Carraro India Limited Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

218.21

decreased by 41.23

1 Week

229.22

decreased by 30.22

1 Month

259.62

increased by 0.18

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 07:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Carraro India Limited ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 30, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 107 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 75% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
2.40**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1373
6.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8045
90.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1035
2.71***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

107 days