V-Lab
Carraro India Limited Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
218.21
decreased by 41.23
1 Week
229.22
decreased by 30.22
1 Month
259.62
increased by 0.18
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 07:00 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 30, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 107 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 75% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 2.40** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1373 | 6.12*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8045 | 90.88*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1035 | 2.71*** |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
107 days
Other Carraro India Limited Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities