V-Lab
Carraro India Limited Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
295.01
increased by 109.58
1 Week
217.47
increased by 32.04
1 Month
258.96
increased by 73.53
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 30, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 107 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 75% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 2.40** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1373 | 6.12*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8045 | 90.88*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1035 | 2.71*** |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
107 days
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