V-Lab
Carraro India Limited Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
366.12
decreased by 46.95
1 Week
344.67
decreased by 68.40
1 Month
269.11
decreased by 143.96
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 01:12 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 30, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 107 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 88% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 2.31** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1296 | 5.75*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8072 | 92.47*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1135 | 2.93*** |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
107 days
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