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Carraro India Limited Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

366.12

decreased by 46.95

1 Week

344.67

decreased by 68.40

1 Month

269.11

decreased by 143.96

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 01:12 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Carraro India Limited ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 30, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 107 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 88% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
2.31**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1296
5.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8072
92.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1135
2.93***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

107 days