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Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 13th, 2026

1 Day

76.80

decreased by 4.90

1 Week

82.49

increased by 0.79

1 Month

72.76

decreased by 8.94

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 13, 2026 at 07:40 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/12/2024

to

10/12/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 28, 1997 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
3.81***
αARCH0.1984
0.98
βGARCH0.8228
20.08***
γleverage-0.0425
-0.22

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
3.81***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1984
0.98
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8228
20.08***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0425
-0.22

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-