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V-Lab

Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 18th, 2026

1 Day

35.01

increased by 5.28

1 Week

36.57

increased by 6.84

1 Month

44.49

increased by 14.76

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 06:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 28, 1997 to Sep 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 88 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.992, shock half-life ~88 days
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow46
αARCH0.2261
10.26***
βGARCH0.7621
56.61***
γleverage0.0081
0.09
λ₁tau intercept0.0000
0.00
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.9992
147.06***

0.992

Persistence

88d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2261
10.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7621
56.61***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0081
0.09
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9992
147.06***

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

88 days