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V-Lab

CRRC Corp Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

14.75

decreased by 0.36

1 Week

14.72

decreased by 0.39

1 Month

13.10

decreased by 2.01

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 07:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CRRC Corp Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 18, 2008 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 27 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5135
5.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2056
16.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7693
41.08***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ10.2936
1.37
γ2-1.1893
-3.54***
γ31.7942
11.49***
γ4-1.1639
-12.09***
γ50.3159
3.07***
γ6-0.1236
-1.03

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

27 days