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V-Lab

CRRC Corp Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

13.26

decreased by 0.30

1 Week

13.71

increased by 0.15

1 Month

12.56

decreased by 1.00

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 09:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of CRRC Corp Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 18, 2008 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0778
0.11
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6120
3.10***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2779
0.21
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.8374
0.09
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.9988
0.10
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0012
0.11

Persistence:

0.829

Half-life:

4 days