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CRRC Corp Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

13.66

increased by 1.64

1 Week

13.88

increased by 1.86

1 Month

14.61

increased by 2.59

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 06:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CRRC Corp Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 18, 2008 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1991 trading days (~7.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 29% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6306
14.91***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1859
20.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7866
314.53***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0543
3.50***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1991 days