CRRC Corp Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
13.66
increased by 1.64
1 Week
13.88
increased by 1.86
1 Month
14.61
increased by 2.59
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 06:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 18, 2008 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1991 trading days (~7.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 29% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6306 | 14.91*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1859 | 20.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7866 | 314.53*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0543 | 3.50*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1991 days
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