V-Lab
CRRC Corp Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
17.25
decreased by 0.73
1 Week
17.33
decreased by 0.65
1 Month
15.70
decreased by 2.28
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 07:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 18, 2008 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1419 trading days (~5.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 30% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6240 | 15.41*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1846 | 20.55*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7876 | 313.53*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0547 | 3.51*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1419 days
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