V-Lab
Tejassvi Aaharam Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026
1 Day
164.69
unchanged at 0.00
1 Week
289.06
increased by 124.37
1 Month
28,311.25
increased by 28,146.56
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 07:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 27, 2023 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0468 | 0.72 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7903 | 2.20** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | 10.0360 | 0.15 |
| γ2 | -24.4789 | -0.28 |
| γ3 | 4.0823 | 0.13 |
| γ4 | 28.6218 | 1.29 |
| γ5 | 3.8034 | 0.20 |
| γ6 | -32.9997 | -1.74* |
| γ7 | 7.9140 | 0.46 |
| γ8 | -25.2935 | -1.45 |
| γ9 | 61.7124 | 2.32** |
| γ10 | -182.6491 | -3.44*** |
Persistence:
0.790
Half-life:
3 days
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