V-Lab
Tejassvi Aaharam Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026
1 Day
4,714,484.00
1 Week
5,082,927.80
1 Month
8,285,586.04
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 07:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 27, 2023 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 341 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0903 | 10.76*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9243 | 186.19*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0333 | -3.82*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 97,855,990.0000 |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
341 days
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