V-Lab
Tejassvi Aaharam Limited Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026
1 Day
9,578,221.00
1 Week
10,120,170.60
1 Month
13,129,444.91
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 07:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 27, 2023 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0085 | 2.00** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9732 | 179.68*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0368 | 3.90*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
Other Tejassvi Aaharam Limited Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities