V-Lab
Turtle Beach Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
6,738.14
decreased by 692.36
1 Week
6,871.41
decreased by 559.09
1 Month
8,945.30
increased by 1,514.80
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 5, 2010 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 173286 trading days (~687.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2118 | 0.79 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1579 | 0.13 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8421 | 0.71 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0004 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
173286 days
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