V-Lab
Turtle Beach Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
5,417.06
decreased by 290.59
1 Week
5,136.11
decreased by 571.54
1 Month
6,664.69
increased by 957.04
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 5, 2010 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 115524 trading days (~458.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1724 | 2.12** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1614 | 0.50 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8386 | 2.60*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0039 | 0.01 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
115524 days
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