V-Lab
Turtle Beach Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
10,025.33
decreased by 1,170.26
1 Week
10,909.60
decreased by 285.99
1 Month
8,307.13
decreased by 2,888.46
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 5, 2010 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 346573 trading days (~1375.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2250 | 0.09 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1591 | 0.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8409 | 0.08 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0008 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
346573 days
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