V-Lab
Turtle Beach Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
5,045.55
1 Week
4,702.98
1 Month
6,405.92
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 5, 2010 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 145 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1842 | 11.90*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8300 | 280.71*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0381 | -1.61 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0002 | 74.67*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0034 | 3.88*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9873 | 538.03*** |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
145 days
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