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Turtle Beach Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

5,045.55

decreased by 323.68

1 Week

4,702.98

decreased by 666.25

1 Month

6,405.92

increased by 1,036.69

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:14 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Turtle Beach Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 5, 2010 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 145 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1842
11.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8300
280.71***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0381
-1.61
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0002
74.67***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0034
3.88***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9873
538.03***

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

145 days