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Turtle Beach Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

5,247.53

decreased by 237.23

1 Week

4,715.72

decreased by 769.04

1 Month

6,029.90

increased by 545.14

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:14 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Turtle Beach Corp ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 5, 2010 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 56% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.40
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1193
18.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8470
272.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0673
7.43***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-