V-Lab
Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026
1 Day
5,397.77
increased by 0.87
1 Week
5,426.95
increased by 30.05
1 Month
5,111.07
decreased by 285.83
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 06:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 28, 2007 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 50 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7740 | 2.64*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0873 | 3.62*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8990 | 39.85*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | 0.0239 | 0.69 |
| γ2 | -0.1025 | -1.70* |
| γ3 | 0.1033 | 1.63 |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
50 days
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