V-Lab
Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026
1 Day
6,870.43
1 Week
6,938.92
1 Month
6,719.44
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 06:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 28, 2007 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0977 | 0.69 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8880 | 99.55*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0720 | -0.26 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0147 | 0.74 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9843 | 330.86*** |
Persistence:
0.950
Half-life:
13 days
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