Skip to main content
V-Lab

Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026

1 Day

4,975.74

increased by 67.93

1 Week

5,033.58

increased by 125.77

1 Month

5,127.34

increased by 219.53

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 06:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 28, 2007 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 137% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0000
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0234
8.40***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9606
436.82***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0321
8.03***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-