V-Lab
Siam Wellness Group Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
2,056.95
increased by 148.94
1 Week
2,002.24
increased by 94.23
1 Month
1,461.45
decreased by 446.56
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 3, 2014 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 40 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4182 | 6.92*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1670 | 11.79*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8157 | 56.47*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0136 | -1.08 |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
40 days
Other Siam Wellness Group Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities