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Siam Wellness Group Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

2,266.26

decreased by 460.57

1 Week

2,979.64

increased by 252.81

1 Month

3,092.57

increased by 365.74

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 08:33 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Siam Wellness Group ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 3, 2014 to Oct 15, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 42 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.5065
7.04***
αARCH0.1634
11.84***
βGARCH0.8204
58.62***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0068
-0.57

0.984

Persistence

42d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5065
7.04***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1634
11.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8204
58.62***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0068
-0.57

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

42 days