Siam Wellness Group ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
2,215.36
1 Week
2,046.70
1 Month
1,497.09
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 07:59 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 3, 2014 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1723 | 2.60*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8142 | 134.14*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1723 | -1.68* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 4.7601 | 5.40*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9866 | 283.99*** |
Persistence:
0.900
Half-life:
7 days
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