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V-Lab

SAN Miguel Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

2,678.88

decreased by 452.34

1 Week

2,616.48

decreased by 514.74

1 Month

2,731.88

decreased by 399.34

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 12, 2026 at 12:33 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of SAN Miguel Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 24, 1994 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 21 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8582
5.26***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1363
9.15***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8315
45.49***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.1457
-1.48
γ20.3206
1.95*
γ3-0.4198
-3.25***
γ40.5074
4.36***
γ5-0.6918
-5.25***
γ60.9273
8.17***
γ7-0.8419
-10.78***
γ80.6015
7.86***
γ9-0.4375
-5.48***
γ100.3502
2.76***

Persistence:

0.968

Half-life:

21 days