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Datang Huayin Electric Power Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026

1 Day

37.71

increased by 0.96

1 Month

34.82

decreased by 1.93

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 06:28 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Datang Huayin Electric Power Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 5, 1996 to Sep 30, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 756 trading days (~3.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~756 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2862
5.35***
αARCH0.2560
9.58***
βGARCH0.7431
27.75***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ10.0326
0.18
γ2-0.0500
-0.17
γ3-2.0301
-1.54
γ46.6701
1.61
γ5-8.6399
-1.64
γ66.2826
1.67*
γ7-3.1678
-1.64
γ80.8928
1.26

0.999

Persistence

756d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2862
5.35***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2560
9.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7431
27.75***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ10.0326
0.18
γ2-0.0500
-0.17
γ3-2.0301
-1.54
γ46.6701
1.61
γ5-8.6399
-1.64
γ66.2826
1.67*
γ7-3.1678
-1.64
γ80.8928
1.26

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

756 days