V-Lab
Datang Huayin Electric Power Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
56.52
1 Week
71.98
1 Month
80.82
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 5, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 131% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.6620 | 4.32*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1046 | 8.25*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8268 | 129.28*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1372 | 9.35*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
693147 days
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