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Barratt Redrow PLC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

696.29

increased by 4.73

1 Week

691.53

decreased by 0.03

1 Month

659.83

decreased by 31.73

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 10:01 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Barratt Redrow PLC ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 11, 1991 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1216 trading days (~4.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0111
4.88***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0899
11.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9095
126.82***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-0.1313
-1.58
γ20.1504
1.43
γ30.0010
0.02
γ4-0.0218
-0.59
γ5-0.0015
-0.03

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1216 days