V-Lab
Barratt Redrow PLC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
696.29
increased by 4.73
1 Week
691.53
decreased by 0.03
1 Month
659.83
decreased by 31.73
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 10:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 11, 1991 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1216 trading days (~4.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0111 | 4.88*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0899 | 11.11*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9095 | 126.82*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=5
| γ1 | -0.1313 | -1.58 |
| γ2 | 0.1504 | 1.43 |
| γ3 | 0.0010 | 0.02 |
| γ4 | -0.0218 | -0.59 |
| γ5 | -0.0015 | -0.03 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
1216 days
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