How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	1.1107	4.78***
αARCH	0.0877	10.55***
βGARCH	0.9095	129.41***

γ₁	-0.0761	-2.86***
γ₂	0.1134	3.04***
γ₃	-0.0495	-2.13**
γ₄	0.0292	1.09

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	1.1107	4.78***
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0877	10.55***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9095	129.41***

γ₁	-0.0761	-2.86***
γ₂	0.1134	3.04***
γ₃	-0.0495	-2.13**
γ₄	0.0292	1.09

V-Lab

Barratt Redrow PLC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Illiquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Barratt Redrow PLC Analyses