V-Lab
Barratt Redrow PLC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
621.26
decreased by 35.99
1 Week
638.67
decreased by 18.58
1 Month
656.54
decreased by 0.71
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 02:12 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 11, 1991 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 176 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.5145 | 5.63*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0868 | 10.98*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9092 | 129.96*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | -0.0409 | -3.13*** |
| γ2 | 0.0724 | 3.40*** |
| γ3 | -0.0459 | -3.04*** |
Persistence:
0.996
Half-life:
176 days
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