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Barratt Redrow PLC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

651.53

decreased by 55.24

1 Week

615.65

decreased by 91.12

1 Month

680.92

decreased by 25.85

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 08:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Barratt Redrow PLC ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 11, 1991 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 175 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5149
5.63***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0871
10.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9090
129.69***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-0.0409
-3.13***
γ20.0726
3.40***
γ3-0.0464
-3.05***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

175 days