V-Lab
Barratt Redrow PLC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
651.53
decreased by 55.24
1 Week
615.65
decreased by 91.12
1 Month
680.92
decreased by 25.85
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 08:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 11, 1991 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 175 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.5149 | 5.63*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0871 | 10.99*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9090 | 129.69*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | -0.0409 | -3.13*** |
| γ2 | 0.0726 | 3.40*** |
| γ3 | -0.0464 | -3.05*** |
Persistence:
0.996
Half-life:
175 days
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