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Barratt Redrow PLC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

621.26

decreased by 35.99

1 Week

638.67

decreased by 18.58

1 Month

656.54

decreased by 0.71

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 02:12 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Barratt Redrow PLC ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 11, 1991 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 176 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5145
5.63***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0868
10.98***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9092
129.96***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-0.0409
-3.13***
γ20.0724
3.40***
γ3-0.0459
-3.04***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

176 days