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Barratt Redrow PLC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 21st, 2026

1 Day

1,035.63

increased by 59.56

1 Week

1,028.14

increased by 52.07

1 Month

981.87

increased by 5.80

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 08:43 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/20/2024

to

10/20/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Barratt Redrow PLC ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 11, 1991 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 177 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.996, shock half-life ~177 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.5223
5.66***
αARCH0.0867
11.00***
βGARCH0.9094
130.36***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-0.0405
-3.14***
γ20.0719
3.41***
γ3-0.0449
-3.01***

0.996

Persistence

177d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5223
5.66***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0867
11.00***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9094
130.36***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-0.0405
-3.14***
γ20.0719
3.41***
γ3-0.0449
-3.01***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

177 days