V-Lab
Barratt Redrow PLC ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
688.81
1 Week
684.25
1 Month
655.12
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 10:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 11, 1991 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0857 | 14.30*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9133 | 561.71*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0857 | -9.97*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0744 | 41.70*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.08 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9988 | 6,242.54*** |
Persistence:
0.956
Half-life:
15 days
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