Barratt Redrow PLC ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026
1 Day
745.71
1 Week
737.66
1 Month
844.08
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 09:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 11, 1991 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0859 | 14.31*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9131 | 561.24*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0859 | -9.99*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0742 | 41.69*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.08 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9988 | 6,242.53*** |
Persistence:
0.956
Half-life:
15 days
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