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Barratt Redrow PLC Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

623.57

decreased by 18.90

1 Week

651.61

increased by 9.14

1 Month

610.01

decreased by 32.46

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 10:01 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Barratt Redrow PLC ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 11, 1991 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 315% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.3487
4.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0236
11.02***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9393
837.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0743
13.52***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

693147 days