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Barratt Redrow PLC Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

976.83

increased by 14.44

1 Week

996.24

increased by 33.85

1 Month

833.56

decreased by 128.83

Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 02:41 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

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2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Barratt Redrow PLC ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 11, 1991 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 316% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~1386294 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 316% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst3.3616
1.00
αARCH0.0235
2.75***
βGARCH0.9393
209.57***
γleverage0.0743
3.38***

1.000

Persistence

1386294d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.3616
1.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0235
2.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9393
209.57***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0743
3.38***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days