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Barratt Redrow PLC Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026

1 Day

705.64

decreased by 32.86

1 Week

719.47

decreased by 19.03

1 Month

786.61

increased by 48.11

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 09:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Barratt Redrow PLC ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 11, 1991 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 315% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.3386
3.97***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0236
11.02***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9392
836.31***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0744
13.53***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

693147 days