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Barratt Redrow PLC Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

577.92

decreased by 32.45

1 Week

604.24

decreased by 6.13

1 Month

697.12

increased by 86.75

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 08:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Barratt Redrow PLC ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 11, 1991 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 315% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.3098
3.94***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0236
11.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9392
836.31***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0744
13.52***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days