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V-Lab

SAN Miguel Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

1,422.97

decreased by 216.42

1 Week

1,675.95

increased by 36.56

1 Month

2,319.66

increased by 680.27

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 07:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of SAN Miguel Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 24, 1994 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1278
0.16
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8277
20.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1278
-0.08
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.9616
0.33
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0778
0.32
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9222
3.81***

Persistence:

0.892

Half-life:

6 days