V-Lab
SmartGroup Corp Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, September 17th, 2026
1 Day
2,447.17
decreased by 215.55
1 Week
2,571.58
decreased by 91.14
1 Month
2,964.74
increased by 302.02
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 05:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 2, 2014 to Sep 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 284 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~284 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.2809 | 3.83*** |
| αARCH | 0.1010 | 9.89*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8966 | 91.39*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0046 | 0.26 |
0.998
Persistence284d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2809 | 3.83*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1010 | 9.89*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8966 | 91.39*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0046 | 0.26 |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
284 days
Other SmartGroup Corp Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities