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SmartGroup Corp Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026

1 Day

3,374.88

decreased by 88.23

1 Week

3,652.21

increased by 189.10

1 Month

2,922.72

decreased by 540.39

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 05:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of SmartGroup Corp Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 2, 2014 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 242 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2986
3.87***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1013
9.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8958
89.45***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0079
0.51

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

242 days