Skip to main content
V-Lab

SmartGroup Corp Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

2,464.52

decreased by 65.15

1 Week

2,485.63

decreased by 44.04

1 Month

2,455.23

decreased by 74.44

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of SmartGroup Corp Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 2, 2014 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 288 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2820
3.83***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1014
9.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8962
90.66***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0049
0.26

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

288 days