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Semilux International Ltd -Redh Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

2,087,666,000,000,000.00

decreased by 6,646,000,000,000.00

1 Week

1,229,188,320,000,000.00

decreased by 865,123,680,000,000.00

1 Month

471,956,016,714,285.70

decreased by 1,622,355,983,285,714.20

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 09:27 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Semilux International Ltd -Redh ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 28, 2022 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0011
1.57
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4140
4.57***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4853
6.56***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-46.7724
-3.64***
γ265.5849
3.79***
γ3-21.1247
-1.71*
γ48.8698
0.61
γ5-9.6075
-0.75
γ61.0316
0.11
γ7-4.7554
-0.49
γ816.3387
1.62
γ9-54.4231
-5.16***
γ10246.8667
12.90***

Persistence:

0.899

Half-life:

7 days