Skip to main content
V-Lab

Semilux International Ltd -Redh ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

698,587,400.00

decreased by 106,336,800.00

1 Week

832,931,850.00

increased by 28,007,650.00

1 Month

593,123,357.78

decreased by 211,800,842.22

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 09:56 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Semilux International Ltd -Redh ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 28, 2022 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 909 trading days (~3.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2988
28.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7763
133.64***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1517
-11.66***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

14,993,590.0000

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

909 days