V-Lab
Semilux International Ltd -Redh ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
48,485,070,000,000.00
1 Week
42,064,707,500,000.00
1 Month
14,229,820,714,285.72
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 28, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 57 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 57 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1909 | 1.05 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8925 | 25.91*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1909 | -0.46 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 361,489,724,493.1983 |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
57 days
Other Semilux International Ltd -Redh Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on Equities