Skip to main content
V-Lab

Semilux International Ltd -Redh ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

48,485,070,000,000.00

decreased by 5,242,800,000,000.00

1 Week

42,064,707,500,000.00

decreased by 11,663,162,500,000.00

1 Month

14,229,820,714,285.72

decreased by 39,498,049,285,714.28

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Semilux International Ltd -Redh ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 28, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 57 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 57 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1909
1.05
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8925
25.91***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1909
-0.46
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

361,489,724,493.1983

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

57 days