V-Lab
Semilux International Ltd -Redh ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
3,123,795,000,000.00
1 Week
1,011,975,025,000.00
1 Month
566,500,671,428.57
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:10 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 28, 2022 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0158 | 1.48 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9075 | 3.79*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0158 | -0.36 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 41,793,650,000.0000 |
Persistence:
0.915
Half-life:
8 days
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